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Hyouka:Volume 4 Those Who Know Something
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===1=== Suppose that one day, I took a microphone and said, "Today will be sunny." Someone who heard me might think, "I guess Oreki Houtarou-kun is testing his microphone." But another person might think, "Oreki Houtarou-kun is broadly asserting that today will be sunny." Whichever deduction is valid, whichever deduction matches the truth, can only be said to be a matter of luck. To increase the chances of that, one would have to gather as much detailed data as possible, but usually it would be absolutely impossible to expect such information to fall into one's hands. Furthermore, even if one managed to collect data that goes into the minutest details, all that would achieve is a higher possibility for truth and theory to coincide, and nothing more. It was the first day of November. Only Chitanda and I were present in the clubroom. It was that time after class in autumn when idleness flows around, when one does not give a thought about the dangerous, disturbing occurrences in the world like arson, robbery, counterfeit notes and assassinations. With my energy-conserving principle, for me to talk on and on indignantly just to make a point is uncharacteristic of me and can be attributed to Chitanda trying to praise me for my role in the Hyouka incident. From her words, it was as if I had within me some sort of special ability to deduce the truth all the time. I don't mind being looked down upon and laughed at, but I can't ignore being praised highly. I added, "To conclude, I don't mind if you call me lucky, but please stop making me out to be an amazing person." Knowing my extremely gently and reticent personality, Chitanda was taken aback by my rare outburst and her eyes widened. But before long, she nodded and smiled gently, as if she understood my feelings. "You're so modest, Oreki-san!" Nope, she didn't understand at all. It's been almost half a year since we entered Kamiyama High School. Since then, Chitanda's curiosity has found the abnormal in the everyday scenery with just one glance. It is certainly true that I've been involved in helping Chitanda understand the reasons behind those abnormalities. It would be a lie to say that I did nothing for the Hyouka incident and the Empress incident. Also, unbeknownst to Chitanda, I did a little work behind the scenes of the Juumoji incident. But it would be best to set things straight right now. "Chitanda, the ancients said some wise words." "What did they say?" "'Theory and ointment will stick to anything.' Admittedly, ointment doesn't exactly stick on every surface, but that has nothing to do with the matter at hand." I said seriously, but for some reason Chitanda elegantly hid her mouth with her hand and giggled. She turned to me as I felt a little morose. "Oreki-san occasionally says phrases that are never used." ... Is that so? I hadn't noticed. "But that's not the issue here," I wanted to reply, but Chitanda continued with a smile still on her face. "I'm not sure why you would want to use that phrase, but... Ah, I get it. Let's assume that the reason you managed to find the truth so many times was not talent, but luck. "But wouldn't you call the ability to reason out theories, or the ability to apply a plaster<ref>Plaster and ointment have the same pronunciation in Japanese.</ref> to bridge the gap between clues a talent in itself? Even if a sowed seed bears fruit due to luck, it would not be worth considering if the seed was not sowed in the first place." I folded my arms and groaned. There was indeed reason behind her argument. But I would not admit defeat that easily. "So you're saying that I'm an expert in affixing plasters?" "Is that wrong?" I responded to Chitanda's gentle smile with the most composed one I could manage. "Yes, sometimes I have no inkling of the logic behind my theories, myself." My statement was immediately countered. "That's because you don't use ordinary reasoning." That's kind of true, but... I felt a little disheartened at being identified time and again with that trait. But I firmly stood my ground. "Then how about this, Chitanda. Come up with some sort of situation. I'll prove that you can't make a theory for anything so easily." I haven't called for a contest against anyone before, but I can't back out now, when my life's at stake. Chitanda's large eyes widened even more. Based on my observations of Chitanda thus far, it was mainly because of her immense curiosity about the game I proposed, rather than her amusement towards the situation. "That sounds fun! Then... what should we go with?" It was when those eyes were wandering around, searching for a question. The speaker that was fixed on the top of the blackboard and used for schoolwide announcements crackled into life. Our eyes turned to look at it at the same time. Without any preface, the announcement started. "Anyone who, on October 31<sup>st</sup>, shopped at Koubundou in front of the station and who knows something, report to Shibazaki in the Staff Room immediately." It was spoken somewhat rapidly. The announcement was then cut off without hesitation. We dropped our gaze from the speaker at the same time. "I wonder what that was about." "No idea." I said, while noticing that Chitanda's mouth was beginning to open and her head was slightly tilted. I thought that she seemed happy about something and predicted what she would say next. As expected, she spoke in a lively tone. "Let's use that announcement! Please come up with a theory about what that announcement just now was about!" Hm. I arrogantly nodded. "Fine, I accept your challenge." I'll show you just what an untrustworthy guy I am!
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